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Audit Risks



 
1.0 INTRODUCTION
The term ’audit risk’ refers to the possibility that the auditors may  unknowingly fail to appropriately modify their opinion on financial  statements that are not well stated. It can also be stated that audit
risk  means the chance of damage to the audit firm as a result of giving an  audit opinion that is wrong in some particular.

Damage to the audit  form may be in the form of monetary damages paid to a client or third  party as compensation for loss caused by the conduct (for example,  negligence) of the audit firm or simply loss of reputation with the client  (and perhaps also the audit) or the business community.
Audit risk is reduced by gathering evidence – the more the evidence  gathered, the less the audit risk assumed.
In this note, you will be considering the following topics.

· Types of audit risks;
· Audit firm organization and audit risk;
· Particular audits and audit risk;
· Risk-based audit methodology.

2.0 OBJECTIVES
At the end of this note, you should be able to:
· define audit risk
· explain the types of audit risk
· describe the features of audit firm organization which may  minimize risk
· explain the risk-based audit methodology.

3.0 MAIN CONTENT
3.1 Audit Risks – Types
There are three types of audit risks, namely:
(a) normal audit risk
(b) higher than normal audit risk and
(c) audit work risk

3.1.1 Normal Audit Risk
All audits involve risk. However strong the audit evidence and however  careful the auditor, there is always a possibility of an error or fraud  being undetected.
In general, if there are indications that audit risk is normal and there are  no indications of higher than normal risk, then the auditor could be  regarded as one that:

(a) organizes his office and staff in a competent manner;
(b) follows the auditing standards and guidelines; he is unlikely to  be found negligent and to have to pay damages as a consequence  of fraud or error not discovered by him.

Indications that risk is normal may include the following:
(a) Past experience indicates risk is normal;
(b) The management and staff of the client are competent and have  integrity;
(c) The accounting system is well designed, it works and it is subject  to strong internal controls;
(d) The client is old established and is not subject to rapid change;
(e) The board of directors is actively engaged in the company and  control and its leadership is of good quality;
(f) The board of directors has competent non-executive directors and  better still, an audit committee.

Where audit risk is normal, then the auditor may approach his audit by  relying on:
(a) key controls;
(b) substantive tests;
(c) analytical review.

3.1.2 Higher than Normal Risk
Some audit assignments involve high audit risk. Some audits contain at  least one area of high risk.
Indications of higher than normal audit risk are as follows:
(a) Previous experience;
(b) Future plans of the enterprise which include sale or flotation on  the Stock Exchange of the company;
(c) High gearing;
(d) Liquidity problems;
(e) Poor management;
(f) Lack of controls and/or poor book-keeping;
(g) Recent changes of ownership/control;
(h) Dominance by a single person;
(i) Rapid staff turnover;
(j) In small companies, non-involvement of the proprietor or  conversely over-reliance on management for control;
(k) Changes of accounting procedures or policies;
(l) Evidence from background research;
(m) Over-reliance on one or a few products, customers, suppliers;
(n) Recent high investment in new ventures or products;
(o) Problems inherent in the nature of the business e.g. stock
counting or valuing difficulties, difficulty in determining the  extent of liabilities, warranty claims, cut-off;  (p) The existence of ‘put upon enquiry’ situation.

The audit approach in high risk situations must be:
(a) sceptical;
(b) to use high caliber audit staff;
(c) collection of a wide range of audit evidence in each area;
(d) meticulous preparation of audit working papers;
(e) probing of all high risk areas to the bottom;
(f) extreme care in drafting the audit report.

3.1.3 Audit Work Risk
All audit work involves normal risk and some audit works involve  higher than normal risk. This is because there is always a possibility of  the accounts containing a misstatement due to error or fraud.
In addition to the audit risk arising from client activity, there is also a  risk that the audit work may be of an inadequate standard.
The risk arising from audit work may include the following:
(a) Failure to recognise ‘put upon enquiry’ situations;
(b) Failure to draw the correct inferences from audit evidence and the
analytical review;
(c) Use of the wrong procedures in a particular situation;
(d) Failure to perform necessary audit work because of time or cost  considerations;  (e) Failure to detect error or fraud because of poor sampling method  or inadequate sample sizes.

3.2 Audit Firm Organization and Audit Risk
It is essential that an audit firm should organize its affairs in such a way  as to minimize the risk of paying damages to clients or others arising out  of negligent work.
Features of organization, which may minimize risk are as follows:
(a) Proper recruitment and training of all personnel;
(b) Allocation of staff with appropriate ability to particular audits;
(c) Planning of the work of the firm in such a way that each audit can  be approached in a relaxed but disciplined way and timing  problems can be accommodated;
(d) Two-way communication with staff on matters of general  concern and in connection with specific audits;  (e) Use of audit manuals which conform to the audit standards and  guidelines;
(f) Use of audit documentation which is comprehensive and yet  which allows for special situations;
 (g) Use of budgeting and other techniques to ensure that audits are  remunerative and yet risk- minimizing;
(h) Use of precise and frequently updated letters of engagement;
(i) Use of review techniques for all audits;
(j) Existence of technical section so that all new developments  (accounting, law, audit procedures) are rapidly incorporated into  the firm’s actions.

3.3 Particular Audits and Audit Risk
Risks arising from a particular audit can be minimized by:
(a) techniques for recognizing the existence of audit risk;
(b) segregating normal risk areas from high risk areas;
(c) allocating staff who are competent to do the work especially in  high risk areas;
(d) extensive background research into the client and its industry;
(e) careful planning with emphasis on high risk areas;
(f) comprehensive documentation;
(g) good briefing of audit staff;
(h) emphasis to staff on the need for recognition of high risk  situations and good communication when high risk or put upon  enquiry situations are discovered;
(i) particular attention to the conclusions reached from audit  evidence;
(j) special emphasis on the analytical review;
(k) review of the audit work by a senior auditor unconnected with the  particular audit;
(l) emphasis on materiality considerations and sample sizes.

3.4 Risk- based Audit Methodology
Audit costs have been rising steadily in the last few years. At the same  time, audit fee resistance has risen due to competition, low growth in the  market and the growth of competitive tendering for audits.
Consequently, audit firms are continually trying to reduce audit costs  while at the same time reducing audit risk. This has led to the idea of  risk-based auditing being in some sense a distinct approach to auditing.
Historically, auditing has progressed from being a largely substantive  testing process, through a largely systems based process into a risk  based method which uses a range of audit techniques including:  substantive testing, internal control compliance, analytical review and  the use of inherent factors.

Inherent factors include background knowledge of the client and past  audit record indicating no special difficulties. According to Mautz and  Sharaf, it is a valid auditing postulate that ‘in the absence of evidence to  the contrary, what has held true for the client in the past will hold true in  the future’.

  Essentially, auditing is the gathering of evidence about each part of the  accounts; but as absolute assurance is impossible, there are always some  elements of residual risks which have to be accepted. The extent of  acceptable risk is a matter of judgement. It can be seen as the product of  the separate risks accepted in each type of evidence gathering. Thus:

Overall risk = Inherent risk x Control risk x Analytical review x  Substantive risk.

Thus if, for example, an audit situation was examined, found to be  material and the risk factors assessed, the following set of figures might  be assembled:  (the may be debtors)

Overall acceptable risk 5% (= 5 chances in 100 of giving a wrong  opinion). 

Inherent risk (client is old established, well-managed and no problems  have been encountered in the area previously) 50%. 

Control risk (internal control is strong, unchanged from last year, little  possibility of management override) 20%. 

Analytical control risk (figures tie up with credit sales, with previous  years and with budgets subject to small changes stemming from
different external conditions) 50%.

Thus, substantive risk = OR/IR x CR x AR = 0.05/0.5 x 0.2 x  0.5 = 1

This means the audit assurance required from substantive testing is  100% – 100% i.e. no assurance is required. Assurances from the other  sources of evidence are sufficient to support an audit opinion with 5%  risk. Most auditors would find this a bit strong, but if you change the  risk factor from control to 30% then the substantive risk becomes 67%  and the level of assurance required from the evidence source substantive  testing is only 100% – 67% = 33%. In effect, in designing statistical  sampling tests for substantive testing, the level of confidence required is  only 33%. The sample sizes corresponding to this are likely to be very  small.

3.4.1 Using the Risk-based Audit Strategy
We would comment on this sub-heading as follows.

(a) The risk based equation outlined above is one of several.. Others
include:
AR = IR x CR x DR
AR = IR x DR x SR 
AR stands for overall audit risk. This is the risk that the auditor will  draw an invalid conclusion from and wrongly qualify or not qualify  his/her audit report.

 IR is inherent risk – risk which derives from the nature of the entity and  of its environment prior to the establishment of internal controls. Some  enterprises are inherently more risky than others e.g. new v. old  established, high tech (computer manufacturer) v. low tech (hand-made  up-market furniture).

DR is detection risk – the risk that the auditor’s substantive procedures  and his review of the financial statements will not detect material errors. 

SR is sampling risk – detection risk arising out of sample based  substantive tests. 

Some of these are sub-sets of others (e.g. sampling risk of detection  risk).

(b) Care must be taken to weigh the risk from each source of  evidence as it is gathered and then to avoid over-auditing in the  remaining evidence gathering. For example, if adequate weight  is given to inherent factors and analytical review, it may be that  minimal internal control evaluation and/or substantive testing will  be required.
(c) It may be undesirable to carry out detailed Internal Control  Evaluation (ICE) and compliance testing techniques if:
(i) a high level of assurance can be gained from inherent factors and  analytical review;
(ii) a preliminary review indicates that controls appear to be very  strong;
(iii) a high level of assurance was obtained in the previous year and  the system has not changed;
(iv) the area is not material;
 (x) a preliminary review indicates that controls are not strong and a  high level of assurance will have to come from substantive  testing.
(d) Use computer aided auditing techniques wherever possible.
(e) Use the same sample, as far as possible, for several tests both  compliance and substantive. However, care must be taken to  think through each sample and clearly record what evidence is  being obtained whether it is compliant (if so, on what controls) or  substantive.

(f) In using sampling, always look for rational sampling methods  including stratification.
(g) Increase the role of internal audit. Smaller and smaller firms are  turning to internal audit and audit firms should make maximum  use of this resource.

(h) Increase the use of accounting technicians for the actual sampling  and employ high level staff for the thought behind the audit work.  As a matter of comment, the use of clever recent graduates for  audit work seems to be expensive (high salaries, low output as  learners and with time off for study) and a turn off from auditing.

4.0 CONCLUSION
In this note, you have discovered that risk is a useful concept in  planning all audit work. Modern audit firms are increasingly adopting a  risk-based approach, which means that audits are divided into normal  and high risk audits and individual audits are divided into normal risk  areas and high risk areas.
The normal risk areas are covered with emphasis on key controls and  analytical review and the larger part of the audit effort is placed on the  high risk areas.
5.0 SUMMARY
What you have learnt in this note can be summarised as follows:
· Audit risk is a term which has grown in importance in recent
years; 
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· Audit risk may be defined in two stages.
(a) The possibility that the financial statements contain material  misstatements which have escaped detection by any internal  controls on which the auditor has relied and on the auditor’s own  substantive tests and other works;
(c) The possibility that the auditor may be required to pay damages  to the client or other persons as a consequence of:  
 i. the financial statements containing a misstatement, and   
ii. the complaining party suffering loss as a direct consequence of  relying on the financial statements, and
iii. negligence by the auditor in not detecting and reporting on the  misstatement can be demonstrated.
· Audit risk can be seen as normal or higher than normal;
· Normal audit risk exists in all auditing situations;
· Higher than normal audit risk can be associated with particular  clients or with particular areas of a client’s affairs;
· Audit risk can arise from a client which is high risk as a whole,  for particular areas of a client’s affairs, or, from inadequacies in  audit work;
· Audit risk can be minimized by appropriate audit firm  organization and appropriate audit work on a particular client;
· Many modern writers consider the use of risk-based auditing as a  new direction in auditing, contrasting with the older substantive  testing and systems-based auditing. Risk-based auditing takes  account of substantive test risk, internal control risk, detection  risk, analytical control risk, sampling risk and inherent risk.



 

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